Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.727141 2.876797 3.033206 3.209386 3.402943 3.609832 3.848651
2025-11-02 2.469561 2.682672 2.916605 3.194550 3.518602 3.888063 4.346467
2025-11-09 2.278572 2.518963 2.790818 3.124814 3.529546 4.011579 4.641042
2025-11-16 2.144432 2.402916 2.702094 3.079597 3.551724 4.135070 4.931585
2025-11-23 2.067947 2.345751 2.674187 3.099043 3.646625 4.347967 5.349778
2025-11-30 1.996834 2.288550 2.639706 3.103812 3.718057 4.530742 5.741441
2025-12-07 1.897482 2.190395 2.547486 3.026714 3.673274 4.549484 5.897134
2025-12-14 1.812661 2.105739 2.467044 2.958589 3.633367 4.568176 6.049647
2025-12-21 1.759135 2.057557 2.429939 2.944197 3.663897 4.686064 6.363051
2025-12-28 1.710293 2.012857 2.394606 2.929124 3.690764 4.798367 6.677777
2026-01-04 1.666469 1.972564 2.362765 2.916245 3.718526 4.912198 7.006354
2026-01-11 1.639632 1.953010 2.357040 2.938441 3.797567 5.109650 7.503371
2026-01-18 1.607201 1.926800 2.343705 2.952736 3.871268 5.314284 8.064101
2026-01-25 1.566515 1.888419 2.312575 2.940339 3.904264 5.457377 8.538209
2026-02-01 1.512089 1.829528 2.250620 2.879359 3.856653 5.459076 8.729367
2026-02-08 1.468446 1.783697 2.204900 2.839783 3.839800 5.511276 9.033027
2026-02-15 1.446229 1.766109 2.197712 2.856810 3.914326 5.730631 9.739258
2026-02-22 1.421314 1.743844 2.182810 2.860984 3.967382 5.915663 10.408713
2026-03-01 1.375533 1.691372 2.122978 2.793435 3.895928 5.860767 10.490998
2026-03-08 1.334391 1.644313 2.069527 2.733630 3.834284 5.819556 10.601852
2026-03-15 1.309547 1.619306 2.047045 2.720982 3.852384 5.934104 11.138331
2026-03-22 1.285771 1.595115 2.024896 2.707730 3.868303 6.045409 11.693509
2026-03-29 1.263693 1.572710 2.004594 2.696402 3.886641 6.163028 12.297632